Vikings vs. Texans odds, line: 2020 NFL picks, Week 4 predictions from proven computer model

The Houston Texans will take on the Minnesota Vikings at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at NRG Stadium. The Texans are 0-3 overall and 0-1 at home, while Minnesota is 0-3 overall and 0-1 on the road. Houston is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Texans vs. Vikings odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 53.5. Before entering any Vikings vs. Texans picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It’s off to a strong 7-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 4 on an incredible 103-67 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Vikings vs. Texans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Texans vs. Vikings:

  • Vikings vs. Texans spread: Texans -3.5
  • Vikings vs. Texans over-under: 53.5 points
  • Vikings vs. Texans money line: Minnesota +165, Houston -185

What you need to know about the Texans

Houston came up short against the Pittsburgh Steelers this past Sunday, 28-21. Deshaun Watson completed 19 of 27 passes (70.4 pct.) for 264 yards and two TDs and one interception for a season-high 110.7 rating. But he was sacked a season-high five times and is the second-most sacked QB in the NFL (13). 

Houston (0-3) has the worst run defense in the league, allowing 188.3 yards rushing a game. The Texans also rank 31st in the NFL in rushing offense with just 66 yards per game. In 2018, Houston started 0-3 before winning nine straight games and eventually winning the AFC South.       

What you need to know about the Vikings

Meanwhile, Minnesota took a 31-30 loss to the Tennessee Titans this past Sunday. This is the sixth time in Vikings history they have started 0-3, most recently in 2013. They have never won more than six games after dropping the first three. The Vikings have allowed the third-most yards allowed per game in the league, having given up 440 on average. 

Dalvin Cook rushed for one TD and a career-high 181 yards on 22 carries last week. He is one of two players with five-plus games of 170-plus scrimmage yards since 2019. Justin Jefferson had seven catches for 175 yards, including a 71-yard TD catch. He posted the most receiving yards by a Minnesota rookie since Randy Moss in 1998. 

How to make Vikings vs. Texans picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Vikings vs. Texans 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Texans vs. Vikings? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Vikings vs. Texans spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 4 of the NFL season on an incredible 103-67 roll.  

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